couldn’t get to a computer yesterday… so some of this is old…
Arizona (-2) over Purdue. Arizona went 6-2 on the road in confernce, and also won @ Louisville this year, including a win @ ORegon. Purdue’s only semi-decent win away from home was against a very mediocre (at best) Oklahoma team. Budinger is a lottery pick whenever he wants to come out. Shakur is a very good shooter, and Williams is a good scorer. I think that Landry will give them some problems, but Arizona is too deep and talented.
Boston College (-3) over Texas Tech. Texas Tech has had some very good wins this year (A&M twice and Kansas), but they are a very overrated team. Jackson is clearly a good player, but in the game I saw TTech (marquette) he was awful, as was the rest of the team. I think a team that plays good perimeter defense will give Tech trouble. As good as Jackson is, there is no one on the court anywhere near the ability of Dudley. He is the best player in the ACC, and can take over a game whenever he wants. Sean Marshall is a hustle player and Rice is a very underrated guard.
VCU (+6.5) over Duke. It is likely that VCU wins this game outright. How the hell did Duke get a 6 seed? That is absurd. Outside of beating Gonzaga, Georgetown and BC twice, they really struggled this year. Teams that have good defensive guards kill Duke, who doesn’t have a point guard. Paulus will have good games aginst teams that don’t defend, but against a team with a good perimeter defense, he is a boredrline division 1 player. Against Va Tech he played 18 minutes. 0 points, 1 asst, 6 turnovers. Va Tech has one of the best defensive guards in the country in Jamar Gordon. Against Maryland (4 A, 7 TOs) when playing Strawberry. Against Marquette (2 A 6 TOs) Against Clemson (9 TOs). VCU is an awful matchup for Duke. Eric Maynor is one of the best defensive guards in the country. Did you see how he singly handedly beat George Mason with his two pickpockets at the end of the game? I would be worried about the lack of size of VCU, but that is only if I thought McRoberts was a decent player. VCU is an experienced team that plays 3 JRs, 3 Srs, and Maynor. I think it is a good bet that they win outright.
Louisville -5.5 over Stanford. Going in, I never thought that Loiusville would be a good bet. They play 4 freshman regularly and Padgett seems to always be in foul trouble. That being said… stanford is not an NCAA worthy team. 10-8 in the Pac-10 is not that good. They played the last four years with Hernandez and Harancz, and I don’t think they have the same type of leadership onthis team. They are even younger than Louisville, which is amazing. The game is also in Lexington, so I would expect a fairly pro-Louisville crowd
Virginia Tech -2.5 over Illinois. It is fair to say that I have seen every Tech game that was televised this year. Va Tech struggles when it plays against deliberate teams that also shoot the ball very well and get several offensive rebounds. (see 0-3 record against NC State). They also have issues with Gordon and Washington getting into foul trouble. Illinois is a poor shooting team from 3, poor from the line. Pruitt is a good rebounder, so that is really the only thing that would worry me, but I just don’t see Illinois having the firepower to win this game. Did Illinois beat a good team all year? They beat Indiana twice, so I guess that was enough to get them in. Va Tech is a senior laden club, but contrary to Illinois who has 2 seniors, Va Tech’s 3 seniors have started for 4 straight years. Carter hadn’t really played until this year and McBride played sparingly his first 2 years. Va Tech should win this game by 10+